Incorporating Climate Uncertainty into Estimates of Climate Change Impacts
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چکیده
منابع مشابه
Incorporating Climate Uncertainty into Estimates of Climate Change Impacts
Quantitative estimates of the impacts of climate change on economic outcomes are important for public policy. We show that the vast majority of estimates fail to account for well-established uncertainty in future temperature and rainfall changes, leading to potentially misleading projections. We reexamine seven well-cited studies and show that accounting for climate uncertainty leads to a much ...
متن کاملEnsembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts
*Correspondence: Pete Falloon, Earth System and Mitigation Science, Climate Impacts Modelling, Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK e-mail: pete.falloon@ metoffice.gov.uk The increasing use of multi-member climate model ensembles for making future climate impact assessments presents both opportunities for understanding uncertainties, and challenges for interpreting the re...
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■ Abstract Variability of the atmospheric and oceanic circulations in the earth system gives rise to an array of naturally occurring dynamical modes. Instead of being spatially independent or spatially uniform, climate variability in different parts of the globe is orchestrated by one or a combination of several climate modes, and global changes take place with a distinctive spatial pattern res...
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This paper presents a preface to this Special Issue on the results of the QUEST-GSI (Global Scale Impacts) project on climate change impacts on catchment scale water resources. A detailed description of the unified methodology, subsequently used in all studies in this issue, is provided. The project method involved running simulations of catchmentscale hydrology using a unified set of past and ...
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Eliasson, P.E. 2007. Impacts of climate change on carbon and nitrogen cycles in boreal forest ecosystems. Doctor’s dissertation. ISSN: 1652-6880, ISBN: 978-91-576-7388-6 It is well known that soil carbon stocks decrease considerably in response to soil warming, but experimental data have shown that the loss of carbon declines within decades in apparent acclimation. An explanation to such findin...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Review of Economics and Statistics
سال: 2015
ISSN: 0034-6535,1530-9142
DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_00478